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Anthropic Economists Find Minimal Job Impact from AI Despite Predictions

theregister.comBy At the moment, it appears AI has had almost no impact on those whose jobs are considered to be "exposed" to automation. "We find no systematic increase in unemployment for highly exposed workers since late 2022, though we find suggestive evidence that hiring of younger workers has slowed in exposed occupations," write Massenkoff and McCrory in their report [PDF] titled "Labor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidence." There are recent examples of layoffs that have been attributed at least in part to the impact of AI, such as Jack Dorsey's decision to axe around 4,000 employees from Block, or about 40 percent of staff.Sunday, March 8, 20264 min readCurated by JobGoneToAI
Anthropic bods say AI hasn't had much impact on jobs • The Register

— theregister.com

Key Takeaway

Anthropic economists report that AI has not significantly impacted job displacement as previously predicted. They suggest that while there are signs of slowed hiring in exposed occupations, the overall unemployment rate among these workers remains largely unchanged.

JobGoneToAI Analysis

AI-driven job displacement continues to reshape industries worldwide. This report contributes to our ongoing documentation of how companies are restructuring their workforces in response to advances in artificial intelligence. Every data point in our tracker is verified against company announcements, SEC filings, or coverage from trusted publications before inclusion.

The data in this report feeds into our AI Layoff Tracker, which provides the most comprehensive, publicly accessible dataset of AI-attributed workforce changes. If you work in a role affected by these changes, check our Job Risk Index for data on how AI is affecting specific occupations, and our Career Survival Guide for actionable steps to navigate this transition.

From the Original Report

AI + ML 11 Anthropic bods rework AI damage yardstick, find scant labor impact 11 It's the end of the world as we know it, and AI feels fine Thomas Claburn Sat 7 Mar 2026 // 00:07 UTC Anthropic economists Maxim Massenkoff and Peter McCrory report that AI is not eliminating as many jobs as experts have predicted.

Take CEO Dario Amodei as one such expert. In January 2026, Amodei revisited and expanded upon his 2025 prediction that "AI could displace half of all entry-level white collar jobs in the next 1–5 years." "In the end AI will be able to do everything, and we need to grapple with that," he said in his epic post .

Some day, robots may fold clothes and ferry idle citizens about to spend their government-allocated basic income at depopulated pop-up stores. But not today. At the moment, it appears AI has had almost no impact on those whose jobs are considered to be "exposed" to automation.

This is an excerpt. Read the full article at theregister.com.

Original Source

Read original reporting at theregister.com

JobGoneToAI curates, verifies, and adds original analysis to third-party reporting. We link to the original source so you can verify the facts yourself.

AI impactjob marketAnthropic